repslax

Saturday, May 17

Cornell (-4) vs. Richmond | O/U: 25.5

Pick: Lean: Richmond +4, Over 25.5
Why:
Cornell has the best offense in the country — full stop — but Richmond’s defense (4th in DE) can keep this respectable. The Spiders have enough offensive juice (5th in OE) to hang around late, especially if Cornell starts cruising.
- This smells like a 15–12 type game where Richmond sneaks in the backdoor.
- Lean Richmond +4, but Big Red advances.
- Over is still strong — both teams can score.

Princeton (-1.5) vs. Syracuse | O/U: 25.5

Pick: Syracuse +1.5, Over 25.5
Why:
Chaos matchup. Both teams rank top 10 in OE, and both defenses are leaky (Cuse 36th, Princeton 29th in DE). This is the game with “last possession wins” written all over it.
- Syracuse thrives in shootouts.
- Take the points and hammer the Over.

Sunday, May 18

Notre Dame (-2.5) vs. Penn State | O/U: 22.5

Pick: Notre Dame -2.5, Under 22.5
Why:
ND controls pace (36th), shoots efficiently, and suffocates on D (2nd DE). Penn State’s offense has struggled (23rd OE), and they don’t create enough possessions to play catch-up.
- Irish will methodically strangle this game.
- Expect 11–7 or 10–6 type score.

Maryland (-3) vs. Georgetown | O/U: 21.5

Pick: Georgetown +3, Under 21.5
Why:
This will be a war of attrition. Both teams play slow (Maryland 76th in pace), and both are built around long possessions and elite defenses (UMD: 2nd DE, GTown: 8th DE).
- Georgetown’s D is good enough to drag Maryland into the mud.
- Low-scoring, close — 9–8 or 8–7 kind of game.
- Take the points and the Under.

Final Picks Recap